Tuesday, June 02, 2015

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins



Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2015 Jun 01 0141 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 25 - 31 May 2015

Solar activity was at very low levels for the majority of the period with the exception of 27 May when low levels were observed. The period was dominated by only low-to-mid level B-class flares with an isolated C1 flare at 2131 UTC on 27 May. The only C-class event of the period originated from Region 2456 (S16, L=199, class/area=Cso/70 on 30 May) but no coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed with this event. Multiple prominence and filament eruptions were observed throughout the period but none resulted in Earth-directed CMEs. 

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was normal levels throughout the period. 

Geomagnetic field activity was generally quiet throughout the period with an isolated period of unsettled activity observed between 27/1200-1500 UTC. 

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 01 June - 27 June 2015

Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-class flare activity throughout the outlook period. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at moderate levels on 15-19 Jun and high levels on 10-14 Jun with normal levels expected for the remainder of the period. 

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at active levels on 10 and 14-15 Jun with G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms likely on 08-09 Jun, all in response to recurrent coronal hole high speed stream influence. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic field activity is expected for the remainder of the period. 

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2015 Jun 01 0142 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2015-06-01
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2015 Jun 01      95           5          2
2015 Jun 02     100           5          2
2015 Jun 03     105           5          2
2015 Jun 04     105           5          2
2015 Jun 05     110           5          2
2015 Jun 06     110           5          2
2015 Jun 07     115          10          3
2015 Jun 08     115          25          5
2015 Jun 09     115          20          5
2015 Jun 10     120          12          4
2015 Jun 11     120           8          3
2015 Jun 12     115           5          2
2015 Jun 13     115           8          3
2015 Jun 14     110          15          4
2015 Jun 15     100          12          4
2015 Jun 16     100           5          2
2015 Jun 17      95           5          2
2015 Jun 18      95           5          2
2015 Jun 19      95           5          2
2015 Jun 20      95           5          2
2015 Jun 21      95           5          2
2015 Jun 22      95           5          2
2015 Jun 23      90           5          2
2015 Jun 24      90           5          2
2015 Jun 25      90           5          2
2015 Jun 26      95           5          2
2015 Jun 27      95           5          2
(NOAA)